Award details

Mathematical epidemiology of vector-borne veterinary diseases

Reference	BBS/E/I/00001409
Principal Investigator / Supervisor	Dr Anthony Wilson
Co-Investigators / Co-Supervisors
Institution	The Pirbright Institute
Department	The Pirbright Institute Department
Funding type	Research
Value (£)	979,506
Status	Completed
Type	Institute Project
Start date	01/03/2009
End date	31/03/2015
Duration	73 months

Abstract

This project will address 3 main areas: (1) Mapping vector and disease habitats. A location’s suitability for supporting vectors or disease can be estimated from environmental data using techniques such as discriminant analysis. (2) Modelling vector populations. Comprehending the quantitative effects of environmental factors on vector populations is vital to forecast the effects of environmental change and target control efforts effectively. Multimodel inference techniques will be applied to analyse vector population and environmental time-series data (e.g. Aedes aegypti in Thailand). (3) Developing models of disease transmission. Mathematical models enable the course of outbreaks to be anticipated and the effectiveness of control methods explored. Existing models will be improved by adding elements such as host demography and seasonal vector populations, and apply them to historical outbreak data (e.g. Sicily 2002) to estimate parameters such as transmission intensity and prioritise areas for further study.

Summary

unavailable

Committee	Research Committee A (Animal disease, health and welfare)
Research Topics	Animal Health
Research Priority	X – Research Priority information not available
Research Initiative	X - not in an Initiative
Funding Scheme	X – not Funded via a specific Funding Scheme

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