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FACCE MACSUR Knowledge Hub Crop modelling

Reference	BB/K010476/1
Principal Investigator / Supervisor	Professor Christine Foyer
Co-Investigators / Co-Supervisors	Professor Andrew Challinor
Institution	University of Leeds
Department	Ctr for Plant Sciences
Funding type	Research
Value (£)	65,302
Status	Completed
Type	Research Grant
Start date	13/09/2012
End date	12/09/2015
Duration	36 months

Abstract

FACCE MACSUR focuses on modelling European agriculture with climate change for food security. The work is organized in three themes on crop, livestock and trade modelling. The partnership consists of 73 partners from 16 countries all over Europe. The overarching challenge is to develop a pan-European capability in the development, use and interpretation of models to perform risk assessments of the impacts of climate change on European agriculture. To address this the following challenges must be met: 1. Identify and address a range of issues between models in different themes to enable their closer integration including issues of scale and data processing. 2. Train a new generation of scientists to work across models which contribute to greater integration of models. This challenge can be described as focusing on the creation of integrated modellers as opposed to integrated models. 3. Determine the contribution that can be made to reducing uncertainty over the impacts of climate change on European food security by adopting integrated models of crop production, animal production and trade. The work programme will involve participation in the following activities: Task C2.4 Networking of field experimentalists for data gathering. Task C4.3: Development of climate scenarios and assess uncertainties in climate projections Task C4.4: Development of methods for the probabilistic assessment of climate change impacts on crop production Task C4.5: Development of a methodology for probabilistic evaluation of adaptation options.

Summary

Impact Summary

The project aims to improve our understanding of the uncertainties surrounding the ways in which European agriculture will adapt to and mitigate climate change. It is therefore of direct relevance to policy makers and the producers and users of food in the European Union. The project is very high profile and is certain to attract considerable interest from these communities as it progresses. In order to ensure that we able to meet this demand for information we will integrate dissemination within the project. A website is under development and it is intended that stakeholders will be involved in the major events of the project, beginning with the kick-off meeting and concluding with the final conference. Beyond Europe, it is expected that the activities of this project will also contribute to the parallel, global modelling efforts of the AgMIP consortium.

Committee	Research Committee B (Plants, microbes, food & sustainability)
Research Topics	Crop Science, Plant Science
Research Priority	X – Research Priority information not available
Research Initiative	Joint Programming Initiative on Agriculture, Food Security & Climate Change (FACCE JPI) [2012-2014]
Funding Scheme	X – not Funded via a specific Funding Scheme

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